BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Jefferson JSPC

Class: 2A Class Rank: 27 Conference: Heart of Iowa Record: (6-4-0) Overall: (47-51-0) Overall Strength =   62.19

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08-31-2001 Away    W     101.00  23   0   3A 18 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard         38.89    -15.89                      
 2 09-07-2001 Home    W      88.20  14   7   3A 11 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                26.09    -19.09                      
 3 09-14-2001 Away    W      78.11  42  20   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  16.00      6.00                      
 4 09-21-2001 Home    W      75.29  14   0   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               13.18      0.82                      
 5 09-28-2001 Home    W      71.67  62  24   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          9.56     28.44                      
 6 10-05-2001 Away    W      94.20  38  14   3A 39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset              32.09     -8.09                      
 7 10-12-2001 Away    L      64.52  28  35   3A 34 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM             2.41     -9.41                      
 8 10-19-2001 Home    W      77.72  28  21   4A 11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                 15.61     -8.61                      
 9 10-26-2001 Home    W      81.59  42  28   3A 37 ( 55- 40-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes   19.48     -5.48                      
10 10-31-2001 Away    L      61.42  14  42   3A  4 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake             -0.70    -27.30                      
11 09-06-2002 Home    L      63.95  29  40   3A 18 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard          1.84    -12.84                      
12 09-13-2002 Away    L      51.00   3  33   3A 13 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -11.11    -18.89                      
13 09-20-2002 Away    L      47.56   0  28   3A 22 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                 -14.55    -13.45                      
14 09-27-2002 Home    L      46.59   7  28   3A 37 ( 55- 40-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes  -15.52     -5.48                      
15 10-04-2002 Away    L       5.11   7  58   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                 -57.00      6.00                      
16 10-11-2002 Home    L      27.15   0  40   3A 39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset             -34.97     -5.03                      
17 10-18-2002 Away    L      42.26   7  49   3A 11 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll               -19.86    -22.14                      
18 10-25-2002 Home    W      82.29  34  13   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               20.18      0.82                      
19 11-01-2002 Home    W      77.72  14   7   4A 11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                 15.61     -8.61                      
20 09-05-2003 Away    L      32.00   0  46   3A 18 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard        -30.11    -15.89                      
21 09-12-2003 Home    L      40.95   8  45   3A 13 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -21.16    -15.84                      
22 09-19-2003 Home    L      59.51  17  30   3A 22 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                  -2.60    -10.40                      
23 09-26-2003 Away    L      47.65  15  38   3A 37 ( 55- 40-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes  -14.46     -8.54                      
24 10-03-2003 Home    L      32.05   7  28   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                 -30.06      9.06                      
25 10-10-2003 Away    W      72.20  23  21   3A 39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset              10.09     -8.09                      
26 10-17-2003 Home    L      45.20  13  49   3A 11 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll               -16.91    -19.09                      
27 10-24-2003 Away    W      65.34   6   5   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM                3.23     -2.23  JSPC touchdown ADM field goal safety
28 10-31-2003 Away    L      43.77   7  37   4A 11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                -18.34    -11.66                      
29 09-03-2004 Home    L *    35.92  12  13   3A 63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                -26.20     25.20                      
30 09-10-2004 Away    W      70.11  14   0   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                   8.00      6.00                      
31 09-17-2004 Home    L      46.39  12  41   3A 16 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central      -15.72    -13.28                      
32 09-24-2004 Home    W      75.61  19  17   3A 20 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               13.49    -11.49                      
33 10-01-2004 Away    L      58.83   0  42   3A  1 (111- 10-  0) Harlan                 -3.28    -38.72                      
34 10-08-2004 Away    L      46.00   0  35   3A 13 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -16.11    -18.89                      
35 10-15-2004 Home    L      60.20   7  28   3A 11 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                -1.91    -19.09                      
36 10-22-2004 Home    L      61.46  20  27   3A 34 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            -0.65     -6.35                      
37 10-29-2004 Away    L      47.47   7  26   3A 45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood              -14.64     -4.36                      
38 09-02-2005 Away    W *    46.97  27  20   3A 63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                -15.14     22.14                      
39 09-09-2005 Home    W      95.05  42   0   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  32.94      9.06                      
40 09-16-2005 Away    L      58.44   0  20   3A 16 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central       -3.67    -16.33                      
41 09-23-2005 Away    L      59.66   7  24   3A 20 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               -2.45    -14.55                      
42 09-30-2005 Home    L      66.77   0  31   3A  1 (111- 10-  0) Harlan                  4.66    -35.66                      
43 10-07-2005 Home    L      57.95  14  34   3A 13 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig      -4.16    -15.84                      
44 10-14-2005 Away    L      56.26   7  35   3A 11 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                -5.86    -22.14                      
45 10-21-2005 Away    L      49.52   6  28   3A 34 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM           -12.59     -9.41                      
46 10-28-2005 Home    L      53.41   6  16   3A 45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood               -8.70     -1.30                      
47 09-01-2006 Home    W *    62.92  32   6   3A 63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                  0.80     25.20                      
48 09-08-2006 Away    W      98.11  42   0   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  36.00      6.00                      
49 09-15-2006 Away    W   *  66.06  20   0   2A 56 ( 28- 63-  0) Mapleton MVAO           3.95     16.05                      
50 09-22-2006 Home    W      71.88  42   3   2A 61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah              9.77     29.23                      
51 09-29-2006 Home    W      74.28  35   6   1A 48 ( 27- 56-  0) Neola Tri-Center       12.17     16.83                      
52 10-06-2006 Away    W   *  63.44  25  14   2A 47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley         1.33      9.67                      
53 10-13-2006 Home    W      69.46  31   6   3A 61 ( 28- 58-  0) Red Oak                 7.35     17.65                      
54 10-20-2006 Away    W   *  96.54  34   7   2A 18 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper        34.42     -7.42                      
55 10-27-2006 Home    W      76.96  60  14   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley    14.85     31.15                      
56 11-01-2006 Home    W *    64.34  13   7   2A 35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert                 2.23      3.77                      
57 11-07-2006 Home    W      74.00  42  28   3A 51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont         11.89      2.11                      
58 11-13-2006 Neutral L      64.79   7  27   2A  2 ( 78- 30-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR    2.68    -22.68                      
59 08-31-2007 Away    W *    67.97  35   7   3A 63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                  5.86     22.14                      
60 09-07-2007 Home    W      73.05  20   0   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  10.94      9.06                      
61 09-14-2007 Home    W   *  79.00  39   3   2A 56 ( 28- 63-  0) Mapleton MVAO          16.89     19.11                      
62 09-21-2007 Away    W      72.94  37   0   2A 61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah             10.83     26.17                      
63 09-28-2007 Away    W      51.33  27  24   1A 48 ( 27- 56-  0) Neola Tri-Center      -10.78     13.78                      
64 10-05-2007 Home    W   *  76.39  27   0   2A 47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley        14.28     12.72                      
65 10-12-2007 Away    W      78.51  31   0   3A 61 ( 28- 58-  0) Red Oak                16.40     14.60                      
66 10-19-2007 Home    L   *  44.48   7  29   2A 18 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper       -17.63     -4.37                      
67 10-26-2007 Away    W      69.01  35   0   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley     6.90     28.10                      
68 10-31-2007 Away    L      49.05   0  14   3A 51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont        -13.06     -0.94                      
69 08-29-2008 Home    L *    36.34   7  29   2A 35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert               -25.77      3.77  non-district        
70 09-06-2008 Away    L   *  58.54  10  21   2A 18 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper        -3.58     -7.42  non-district        
71 09-12-2008 Away    L      74.26   5  15   3A 11 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                12.14    -22.14                      
72 09-19-2008 Home    L      39.59  14  42   3A 37 ( 55- 40-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes  -22.52     -5.48                      
73 09-26-2008 Home    W *    77.92  41   0   3A 63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                 15.80     25.20                      
74 10-03-2008 Away    L      33.56   7  49   3A 22 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                 -28.55    -13.45                      
75 10-10-2008 Home    W      69.38  45   0   3A 64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                  7.27     37.73                      
76 10-17-2008 Away    L      56.00   6  28   3A 18 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard         -6.11    -15.89                      
77 10-24-2008 Home    W      55.05  14  12   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  -7.06      9.06                      
78 08-28-2009 Away    L *    48.40   7  20   2A 35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert               -13.71      0.71  nd                  
79 09-04-2009 Home    W   *  80.48  20   6   2A 18 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper        18.37     -4.37  nd                  
80 09-12-2009 Home    L      73.20  12  20   3A 11 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                11.09    -19.09  9/11 lightning suspend
81 09-18-2009 Away    W      74.65  14  10   3A 37 ( 55- 40-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes   12.54     -8.54                      
82 09-25-2009 Away    W *    75.97  42   6   3A 63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                 13.86     22.14                      
83 10-02-2009 Home    L      65.51  21  28   3A 22 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                   3.40    -10.40                      
84 10-09-2009 Away    W      67.43  48   8   3A 64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                  5.32     34.68                      
85 10-16-2009 Home    L      67.95  13  20 1 3A 18 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard          5.84    -12.84                      
86 10-23-2009 Away    W      67.11  14   3   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                   5.00      6.00                      
87 10-28-2009 Away    W      74.47  20  17   3A 35 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City           12.36     -9.36                      
88 11-02-2009 Away    L      49.26   7  42   3A 11 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll               -12.86    -22.14                      
89 08-27-2010 Away    L      44.11  14  26   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                 -18.00      6.00  ND                  
90 09-03-2010 Home    L *    46.34  12  24   2A 35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert               -15.77      3.77  ND                  
91 09-10-2010 Home    L   *  74.06   7  14   2A  3 ( 11-  1-  0) South Cent Calhoun     11.95    -18.95                      
92 09-17-2010 Away    W   *  71.06  25   0   2A 56 ( 28- 63-  0) Mapleton MVAO           8.95     16.05                      
93 09-24-2010 Away    L   *  56.50   8  16   2A 25 ( 44- 49-  0) Cherokee Washington    -5.61     -2.39                      
94 10-01-2010 Home    W   *  66.20   7   0   2A 31 ( 21- 25-  0) Lake View East Sac      4.09      2.91                      
95 10-08-2010 Away    W   *  95.44  43   0   2A 47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley        33.33      9.67                      
96 10-15-2010 Home    L   *  21.48   7  52   2A 18 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper       -40.63     -4.37                      
97 10-22-2010 Home    L   *  64.97  10  14   2A 13 ( 20- 10-  0) Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG     2.86     -6.86                      
98 10-27-2010 Away    L      43.20  14  42   2A 15 ( 57- 43-  0) Sheldon               -18.91     -9.09                      
      Averages              62.19  18.9 20.2

Best game:  101.00 = 23 point win over Huxley Ballard
Worst game:   5.11 = 51 point loss to Perry
Team stdev:  17.51