BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Jefferson JSPC

Class: 2A Class Rank: 27 Conference: 2A-2 Record: (9-5-0) Overall: (47-51-0) Overall Strength =   62.19

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    W   101.00  23   0   3A  19 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard         38.89    -15.89                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    W    88.20  14   7   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                26.09    -19.09                      
  3 09/14/2001 Away    W    78.11  42  20   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  16.00      6.00                      
  4 09/21/2001 Home    W    75.29  14   0   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               13.17      0.83                      
  5 09/28/2001 Home    W    71.67  62  24   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          9.56     28.44                      
  6 10/05/2001 Away    W    94.20  38  14   3A  39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset              32.09     -8.09                      
  7 10/12/2001 Away    L    64.52  28  35   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM             2.41     -9.41                      
  8 10/19/2001 Home    W    77.72  28  21   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                 15.61     -8.61                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    W    81.59  42  28   ZZ  44 ( 55- 40-  0) Grimes Dallas Center   19.48     -5.48                      
 10 10/31/2001 Away    L    61.40  14  42   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake             -0.71    -27.29                      
 11 09/06/2002 Home    L    63.94  29  40   3A  19 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard          1.83    -12.83                      
 12 09/13/2002 Away    L    51.02   3  33   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -11.09    -18.91                      
 13 09/20/2002 Away    L    47.55   0  28   3A  23 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                 -14.56    -13.44                      
 14 09/27/2002 Home    L    46.59   7  28   ZZ  44 ( 55- 40-  0) Grimes Dallas Center  -15.52     -5.48                      
 15 10/04/2002 Away    L     5.11   7  58   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                 -57.00      6.00                      
 16 10/11/2002 Home    L    27.14   0  40   3A  39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset             -34.97     -5.03                      
 17 10/18/2002 Away    L    42.25   7  49   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll               -19.86    -22.14                      
 18 10/25/2002 Home    W    82.29  34  13   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               20.17      0.83                      
 19 11/01/2002 Home    W    77.72  14   7   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                 15.61     -8.61                      
 20 09/05/2003 Away    L    32.00   0  46   3A  19 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard        -30.11    -15.89                      
 21 09/12/2003 Home    L    40.96   8  45   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -21.15    -15.85                      
 22 09/19/2003 Home    L    59.50  17  30   3A  23 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                  -2.61    -10.39                      
 23 09/26/2003 Away    L    47.64  15  38   ZZ  44 ( 55- 40-  0) Grimes Dallas Center  -14.47     -8.53                      
 24 10/03/2003 Home    L    32.05   7  28   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                 -30.06      9.06                      
 25 10/10/2003 Away    W    72.20  23  21   3A  39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset              10.09     -8.09                      
 26 10/17/2003 Home    L    45.20  13  49   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll               -16.91    -19.09                      
 27 10/24/2003 Away    W    65.34   6   5   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM                3.23     -2.23                      
 28 10/31/2003 Away    L    43.77   7  37   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                -18.34    -11.66                      
 29 09/03/2004 Home    L    35.91  12  13   3A  63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                -26.20     25.20                      
 30 09/10/2004 Away    W    70.11  14   0   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                   8.00      6.00                      
 31 09/17/2004 Home    L    46.39  12  41   3A  17 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central      -15.72    -13.28                      
 32 09/24/2004 Home    W    75.61  19  17   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               13.50    -11.50                      
 33 10/01/2004 Away    L    58.83   0  42   3A   2 (111- 10-  0) Harlan                 -3.28    -38.72                      
 34 10/08/2004 Away    L    46.02   0  35   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -16.09    -18.91                      
 35 10/15/2004 Home    L    60.20   7  28   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                -1.91    -19.09                      
 36 10/22/2004 Home    L    61.47  20  27   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            -0.64     -6.36                      
 37 10/29/2004 Away    L    47.47   7  26   3A  45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood              -14.64     -4.36                      
 38 09/02/2005 Away    W    46.96  27  20   3A  63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                -15.15     22.15                      
 39 09/09/2005 Home    W    95.05  42   0   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  32.94      9.06                      
 40 09/16/2005 Away    L    58.44   0  20   3A  17 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central       -3.67    -16.33                      
 41 09/23/2005 Away    L    59.66   7  24   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               -2.45    -14.55                      
 42 09/30/2005 Home    L    66.78   0  31   3A   2 (111- 10-  0) Harlan                  4.67    -35.67                      
 43 10/07/2005 Home    L    57.96  14  34   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig      -4.15    -15.85                      
 44 10/14/2005 Away    L    56.25   7  35   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                -5.86    -22.14                      
 45 10/21/2005 Away    L    49.52   6  28   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM           -12.59     -9.41                      
 46 10/28/2005 Home    L    53.42   6  16   3A  45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood               -8.70     -1.30                      
 47 09/01/2006 Home    W    62.91  32   6   3A  63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                  0.80     25.20                      
 48 09/08/2006 Away    W    98.11  42   0   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  36.00      6.00                      
 49 09/15/2006 Away    W *  66.06  20   0   2A  56 ( 28- 63-  0) Mapleton MVAO           3.95     16.05                      
 50 09/22/2006 Home    W    71.89  42   3   2A  61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah              9.77     29.23                      
 51 09/29/2006 Home    W    74.28  35   6   1A  48 ( 27- 56-  0) Neola Tri-Center       12.17     16.83                      
 52 10/06/2006 Away    W *  63.45  25  14   2A  47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley         1.33      9.67                      
 53 10/13/2006 Home    W    69.46  31   6   3A  61 ( 28- 58-  0) Red Oak                 7.35     17.65                      
 54 10/20/2006 Away    W *  96.54  34   7   2A  19 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper        34.43     -7.43                      
 55 10/27/2006 Home    W    76.96  60  14   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley    14.85     31.15                      
 56 11/01/2006 Home    W    64.34  13   7   2A  35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert                 2.23      3.77                      
 57 11/07/2006 Home    W    73.99  42  28   3A  51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont         11.88      2.12                      
 58 11/13/2006 Neutral L    64.80   7  27   2A   4 ( 78- 30-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR    2.69    -22.69                      
 59 08/31/2007 Away    W    67.96  35   7   3A  63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                  5.85     22.15                      
 60 09/07/2007 Home    W    73.05  20   0   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  10.94      9.06                      
 61 09/14/2007 Home    W *  79.00  39   3   2A  56 ( 28- 63-  0) Mapleton MVAO          16.89     19.11                      
 62 09/21/2007 Away    W    72.94  37   0   2A  61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah             10.83     26.17                      
 63 09/28/2007 Away    W    51.33  27  24   1A  48 ( 27- 56-  0) Neola Tri-Center      -10.78     13.78                      
 64 10/05/2007 Home    W *  76.39  27   0   2A  47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley        14.28     12.72                      
 65 10/12/2007 Away    W    78.52  31   0   3A  61 ( 28- 58-  0) Red Oak                16.41     14.59                      
 66 10/19/2007 Home    L *  44.48   7  29   2A  19 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper       -17.63     -4.37                      
 67 10/26/2007 Away    W    69.02  35   0   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley     6.90     28.10                      
 68 10/31/2007 Away    L    49.05   0  14   3A  51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont        -13.07     -0.93                      
 69 08/29/2008 Home    L    36.34   7  29   2A  35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert               -25.77      3.77  non-district        
 70 09/06/2008 Away    L *  58.54  10  21   2A  19 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper        -3.57     -7.43  non-district        
 71 09/12/2008 Away    L    74.25   5  15   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                12.14    -22.14                      
 72 09/19/2008 Home    L    39.59  14  42   ZZ  44 ( 55- 40-  0) Grimes Dallas Center  -22.52     -5.48                      
 73 09/26/2008 Home    W    77.91  41   0   3A  63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                 15.80     25.20                      
 74 10/03/2008 Away    L    33.55   7  49   3A  23 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                 -28.56    -13.44                      
 75 10/10/2008 Home    W    69.37  45   0   3A  64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                  7.26     37.74                      
 76 10/17/2008 Away    L    56.00   6  28   3A  19 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard         -6.11    -15.89                      
 77 10/24/2008 Home    W    55.05  14  12   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  -7.06      9.06                      
 78 08/28/2009 Away    L    48.40   7  20   2A  35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert               -13.71      0.71  nd                  
 79 09/04/2009 Home    W *  80.48  20   6   2A  19 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper        18.37     -4.37  nd                  
 80 09/12/2009 Home    L    73.20  12  20   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                11.09    -19.09  9/11 lightning suspend
 81 09/18/2009 Away    W    74.64  14  10   ZZ  44 ( 55- 40-  0) Grimes Dallas Center   12.53     -8.53                      
 82 09/25/2009 Away    W    75.96  42   6   3A  63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                 13.85     22.15                      
 83 10/02/2009 Home    L    65.50  21  28   3A  23 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                   3.39    -10.39                      
 84 10/09/2009 Away    W    67.43  48   8   3A  64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                  5.32     34.68                      
 85 10/16/2009 Home    L    67.94  13  20 1 3A  19 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard          5.83    -12.83                      
 86 10/23/2009 Away    W    67.11  14   3   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                   5.00      6.00                      
 87 10/28/2009 Away    W    74.46  20  17   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City           12.35     -9.35                      
 88 11/02/2009 Away    L    49.25   7  42   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll               -12.86    -22.14                      
 89 08/27/2010 Away    L    44.11  14  26   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                 -18.00      6.00  ND                  
 90 09/03/2010 Home    L    46.34  12  24   2A  35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert               -15.77      3.77  ND                  
 91 09/10/2010 Home    L    74.07   7  14   ZZ  33 ( 11-  1-  0) Lake City South Cent   11.96    -18.96                      
 92 09/17/2010 Away    W *  71.06  25   0   2A  56 ( 28- 63-  0) Mapleton MVAO           8.95     16.05                      
 93 09/24/2010 Away    L *  56.51   8  16   2A  25 ( 44- 49-  0) Cherokee Washington    -5.60     -2.40                      
 94 10/01/2010 Home    W *  66.21   7   0   2A  31 ( 21- 25-  0) Lake View East Sac      4.10      2.90                      
 95 10/08/2010 Away    W *  95.45  43   0   2A  47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley        33.33      9.67                      
 96 10/15/2010 Home    L *  21.48   7  52   2A  19 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper       -40.63     -4.37                      
 97 10/22/2010 Home    L *  64.97  10  14   2A  14 ( 20- 10-  0) Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG     2.86     -6.86                      
 98 10/27/2010 Away    L    43.21  14  42   2A  16 ( 57- 43-  0) Sheldon               -18.90     -9.10                      
      Averages              62.19  18.9 20.2

Best game:  101.00 = 23 point win over Huxley Ballard
Worst game:   5.11 = 51 point loss to Perry
Team stdev:  17.51